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Hurricane watch posted for Florida Panhandle as strengthening Isaias aims at northern Gulf Coast

Forecasters expect Isaias to become a hurricane by Thursday and near the coast Friday; Gov. DeSantis has declared an emergency in 25 North Florida and Panhandle counties, while Central Florida keeps its own soggy pattern.

Tobias Oakley

October 7, 20262 min read

Storm spiral over the Gulf - illustration, Jake Team LLC

The National Hurricane Center posted a hurricane watch for part of the Florida Panhandle on Wednesday as Tropical Storm Isaias gathered strength in the southwestern Gulf.

At 11 a.m. Eastern time, Isaias had top sustained winds near 45 mph and was moving east-northeast at about 8 mph, roughly 540 miles south-southwest of the mouth of the Mississippi River. Forecasters expect the storm to strengthen quickly and become a hurricane by Thursday, then curve north and near the northern Gulf Coast on Friday.

Watches along the coast

  • Hurricane watch: Bay St. Louis, Mississippi, to Indian Pass, Florida.
  • Tropical storm watch: east of Indian Pass to the Aucilla River, plus a stretch of the Louisiana and Mississippi coast.
  • Storm surge watch: the mouth of the Mississippi River east to Yankeetown, Florida.

The center said water could rise 5 to 7 feet above ground between Ocean Springs, Mississippi, and Indian Pass if the peak surge arrives at high tide, 3 to 5 feet from Indian Pass to the Aucilla River, and 2 to 4 feet from the Aucilla River to Yankeetown. Tropical storm conditions could reach the watch areas around midday Friday, and hurricane conditions late Friday.

From Friday through the weekend, forecasters expect 3 to 6 inches of rain, with isolated totals near 10 inches, from far southeastern Louisiana to the Panhandle.

State emergency order

Gov. Ron DeSantis signed Executive Order 26-202 Tuesday night, declaring a state of emergency in 25 counties: Baker, Bay, Calhoun, Columbia, Dixie, Escambia, Franklin, Gadsden, Gilchrist, Gulf, Hamilton, Holmes, Jackson, Jefferson, Lafayette, Leon, Liberty, Madison, Okaloosa, Santa Rosa, Suwannee, Taylor, Walton, Wakulla and Washington. Seminole County is not on the list.

DeSantis said the order lets the Florida Division of Emergency Management stage supplies ahead of the storm, and he urged residents to review their disaster plans and stock hurricane kits. Fuel, generators, flood barriers, bottled water, tarps, sandbags and shelf-stable meals are being positioned in Leon and Santa Rosa counties, the Florida Phoenix reported.

Closer to home

The National Weather Service office in Melbourne expects the storm to track north well west of east Central Florida. The local forecast is driven instead by a front stalled over the region: another 2 inches of rain is possible Thursday, with pockets up to 4 inches, and the weather service is watching for a few brief spin-ups Friday afternoon and night as winds shift.

Boating conditions are forecast to turn hazardous this weekend.

Sources

nhc.noaa.gov

floridaphoenix.com

National Weather Service

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Tobias Oakley

Tobias Oakley writes about community life, schools, public safety, and local events in Winter Springs.

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